Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -35.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +17 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -18.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -13.9 (+3.1) | 142.3 (+10.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -18.6 (-1.6) | 140.6 (+12.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -17.6 (-0.6) | 143.3 (+9.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-14 |
| Home | 14-3 | 5-10 |
| Away | 3-6 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.5 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#20) | 4.9 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#57) | -0.16 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#57) | -0.13 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.646 (#79) | 0.500 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.4% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 7.1% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.6% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.6% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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