Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Under |
| Money | UAB -5000 ALST +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALST +3 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -27.3 (-30.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -21.3 (-24.3) | 144.9 (+6.1) | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -25.8 (-28.8) | 147.8 (+3.2) | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -24.7 (-27.7) | 146.7 (+4.3) | 90% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2022 | UAB 111 – 70 ALST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-9 | 5-4 |
| Away | 10-2 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#52) | -7.2 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#164) | -0.40 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#166) | -0.61 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#136) | 0.500 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 35.4% |
| 3PT% | 25.5% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 40.8% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 59.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.1% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 56.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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