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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–6 on winners spread MAE 8.7 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Florida @ Tennessee +30.0 144.7 91% 66–99 ✓
Elon @ Marshall +10.8 153.8 84% 89–96 ✓
James Madison @ Longwood +2.8 141.7 73% 72–82 ✓
Presbyterian @ South Carolina +13.2 136.7 85% 61–81 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ East Tennessee State +14.4 134.8 86% 63–75 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Western Michigan +8.5 150.8 81% 71–83 ✓
Coppin State @ South Florida +23.0 155.5 89% 50–100 ✓
Saint Peter's @ VCU +16.0 150.1 88% 61–78 ✓
Milwaukee @ Indiana +24.3 161.6 90% 70–101 ✓
Brown @ Boston University +16.1 139.5 90% 77–90 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Virginia Tech +19.4 154.2 86% 59–94 ✓
Siena @ St. Bonaventure +8.8 132.3 80% 66–75 ✓
American University @ George Washington +14.0 151.6 86% 67–107 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Canisius -7.9 133.2 28% 55–58 ✗
Oakland @ Houston +17.6 144.0 86% 45–78 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Vanderbilt +30.5 159.5 90% 62–92 ✓
Tulsa @ Oral Roberts -6.7 143.1 38% 88–87 ✓
Minnesota @ Missouri +8.7 147.8 82% 60–83 ✓
UTSA @ Texas State +10.4 135.9 80% 69–80 ✓
Little Rock @ Marquette +17.7 147.7 85% 49–89 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Evansville — — — 77–72 —
Nicholls @ Valparaiso -1.3 141.7 45% 63–68 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ NC State +28.8 158.6 91% 64–110 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Oklahoma State +29.9 152.3 91% 67–94 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Texas +24.9 141.0 90% 58–93 ✓
Southern Indiana @ South Dakota +6.9 151.5 80% 74–89 ✓
UT Martin @ Bradley +8.5 137.6 66% 78–67 ✗
Samford @ Texas Southern -3.0 147.4 34% 93–90 ✓
Dartmouth @ Bryant +8.6 135.5 67% 75–82 ✓
Weber State @ Utah State +7.1 151.6 77% 73–83 ✓
UC San Diego @ Fresno State — — — 78–73 —
Cal Poly @ Colorado State +20.2 146.1 89% 79–93 ✓
Idaho @ San Diego -2.1 135.0 57% 74–78 ✗
Manhattan @ Utah Tech +4.2 152.7 70% 79–75 ✗
South Dakota State @ Oregon +1.1 129.3 62% 69–83 ✓
North Texas @ Oregon State +3.2 126.8 50% 64–66 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Nevada — — — 81–86 —
Portland State @ San Francisco +10.4 144.5 79% 70–80 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Seattle U +4.9 149.4 65% 67–94 ✓
Long Beach State @ Pacific — — — 66–69 —
Montana State @ Stanford +17.5 143.3 85% 68–77 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Hawai'i +35.0 145.6 91% 56–88 ✓
Central Michigan @ South Alabama +2.6 141.0 60% 64–66 ✓
Cornell @ Lafayette +3.6 153.1 61% 97–78 ✗
Pittsburgh @ West Virginia +3.5 125.3 55% 49–71 ✓
San José State @ Michigan State +7.1 137.6 77% 60–79 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.