Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | SBU -360 SIE +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +9 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | SBU -9.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -6.9 (+2.1) | 135.3 (+5.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -8.0 (+1.0) | 137.0 (+4.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -8.8 (+0.2) | 132.3 (+8.7) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2024 | SBU 65 – 48 SIE |
| Dec 9, 2023 | SBU 89 – 56 SIE |
| Dec 20, 2022 | SIE 76 – 70 SBU |
| Nov 10, 2021 | SBU 75 – 47 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#125) | 4.3 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#43) | 1.40 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.42 (#41) | 1.99 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.719 (#45) | 0.500 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 20.0% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 17.5 | 16.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 47.3% | 42.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 42.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 26.8% |
| DRB% | 81.0% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 14.0% |
Game Analysis
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