Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | SIE +240 SBU -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +17 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | SBU -8.2 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.9 (-12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -9.1 (-7.9) | 129.6 (-16.6) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -7.0 (-10.0) | 128.5 (-15.5) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -6.6 (-10.4) | 129.7 (-16.7) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -7.5 (-9.5) | 130.0 (-17.0) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2025 | SBU 75 – 66 SIE |
| Dec 9, 2023 | SBU 89 – 56 SIE |
| Dec 20, 2022 | SIE 76 – 70 SBU |
| Nov 10, 2021 | SBU 75 – 47 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#230) | 8.7 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#176) | 2.90 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#180) | 3.98 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#195) | 0.597 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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