Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -10000 SPU +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +17 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -22.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.0 (-28.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -16.2 (+0.8) | 152.5 (-13.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -19.5 (-2.5) | 155.0 (-16.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -16.0 (+1.0) | 150.1 (-11.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2021 | VCU 57 – 54 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-2 | 13-1 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.8 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#64) | -4.9 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#261) | 0.29 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#253) | 0.55 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.260 (#333) | 0.500 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 39.5% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 32.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 58.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 64.1% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 40.2% |
Game Analysis
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