Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | BU -155 BRWN +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +13 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | BU -30.0 (-17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (+24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -16.4 (-3.4) | 139.4 (+27.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BU -17.4 (-4.4) | 137.2 (+29.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -16.1 (-3.1) | 139.5 (+27.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 9-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-8 |
| Away | 6-12 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#61) | -12.2 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.01 (#3) | -2.50 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.72 (#11) | -3.46 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.821 (#15) | 0.500 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.