Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -41.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +33 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -29.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (+15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -20.9 (+12.1) | 143.8 (+21.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -29.6 (+3.4) | 144.7 (+20.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -30.0 (+3.0) | 144.7 (+20.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-3 | 5-8 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 89.6 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#52) | -11.0 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#100) | -0.54 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#90) | -0.85 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.938 (#6) | 0.500 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 31.1% |
| 3PT% | 41.3% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 50.5 | 24.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.3% | 36.9% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 48.5% | 16.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 31.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.8% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 37.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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