Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -41.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +32 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -39.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -35.0 (-3.0) | 145.6 (-1.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | HAW -24.2 (+7.8) | 148.4 (-4.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | HAW -25.4 (+6.6) | 146.6 (-2.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -34.6 (-2.6) | 148.0 (-4.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2022 | HAW 72 – 54 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 3-30 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 2-16 |
| Home | 16-3 | 2-9 |
| Away | 6-5 | 1-18 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.7 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 83.7 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#93) | -23.4 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#173) | -1.59 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#155) | -2.78 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#157) | 0.208 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 30.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 34.3% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 30.1% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 42.2% | 31.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.6% | 8.1% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 62.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.2% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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