Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | ORST -170 UNT +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +2 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | ORST -6.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORST -0.1 (+1.9) | 127.7 (+2.3) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -3.1 (-1.1) | 130.5 (-0.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -2.9 (-0.9) | 128.7 (+1.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -3.2 (-1.2) | 126.8 (+3.2) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2024 | UNT 58 – 55 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-5 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#241) | 0.9 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#87) | 0.94 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#105) | 0.99 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#26) | 0.479 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 24.8% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 39.7% |
| FT Rate | 40.6% | 35.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 38.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 43.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.