Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | UNT -230 ORST +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +3 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -5.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -3.7 (-0.7) | 125.6 (-12.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -4.8 (-1.8) | 131.3 (-18.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -4.2 (-1.2) | 130.7 (-17.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -4.6 (-1.6) | 125.3 (-12.3) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2025 | ORST 66 – 64 UNT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNT | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 17-1 | 15-3 |
| Away | 8-5 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#104) | 5.2 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#61) | 0.16 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#74) | 0.56 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.644 (#29) | 0.457 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNT | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 39.3% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.7% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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