But spirit is something that no one destroys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
Colonial Life Arena · November 13, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SC -16.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money SC -3000 / PRES +1200
Model Predictions
Spread Total SC win
Actual SC +20 142 Won
Massey SC -18.0 (+2.0)
Massey Totals 142.8 (-0.8)
Bradley-Terry 97%
Weighted B-T 100%
Efficiency Plus ML SC -14.4 (+5.6) 138.5 (+3.5) 86%
Baseline Tuned ML SC -13.8 (+6.2) 138.9 (+3.1) 85%
Baseline ML SC -15.4 (+4.6) 137.2 (+4.8) 85%
Baseline Plus ML SC -13.2 (+6.8) 136.7 (+5.3) 85%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 31, 2024 SC 6959 PRES
Dec 11, 2022 SC 6857 PRES

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SC PRES
Overall 13-19 15-18
Conference 4-14 7-9
Home 11-8 10-4
Away 2-8 3-13
Neutral 0-3 2-1
Last 5 2-0 2-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.9 70.0
Avg Pts Against 76.5 73.1
Massey 1.3 (#153) -5.8 (#280)
Bradley-Terry 0.91 (#102) -0.64 (#243)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.27 (#99) -1.65 (#295)
RPI 0.688 (#53) 0.314 (#309)
Shooting & Four Factors SC PRES
FG% 44.1% 42.7%
3PT% 40.0% 30.2%
REB / G 39.5 31.7
OREB / G 11.0 10.0
AST / TO 1.50 0.71
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.9% 48.3%
TOV% 18.3% 23.7%
ORB% 28.9% 33.3%
FT Rate 25.2% 33.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.9% 47.6%
Opp TOV% 14.1% 16.0%
DRB% 74.0% 64.4%
Opp FT Rate 25.2% 27.4%

Game Analysis

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