Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SC -3000 PRES +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +20 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | SC -18.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -13.2 (+6.8) | 136.7 (+5.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -14.4 (+5.6) | 138.5 (+3.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -13.8 (+6.2) | 138.9 (+3.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -15.4 (+4.6) | 137.2 (+4.8) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2024 | SC 69 – 59 PRES |
| Dec 11, 2022 | SC 68 – 57 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-8 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 73.1 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#153) | -5.8 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#102) | -0.64 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#99) | -1.65 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.688 (#53) | 0.314 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 33.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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