Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | WMU +145 PFW -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +12 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | WMU -15.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WMU -8.5 (+3.5) | 150.8 (+3.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | WMU -4.0 (+8.0) | 141.6 (+12.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | WMU -8.9 (+3.1) | 146.9 (+7.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WMU -10.2 (+1.8) | 151.1 (+2.9) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2021 | WMU 93 – 85 PFW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-9 |
| Home | 7-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.1 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#217) | -6.3 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#167) | -1.17 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#170) | -1.83 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#140) | 0.417 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 25.5% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 22.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 17.6% |
| FT Rate | 43.0% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 73.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.7% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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