Betting Lines
| Spread | TLSA -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | ORU +220 TLSA -270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TLSA +1 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | TLSA -1.0 (-0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (+18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TLSA -3.5 (+2.5) | 146.7 (+28.3) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TLSA -1.7 (+0.7) | 147.4 (+27.6) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TLSA -6.7 (+5.7) | 143.1 (+31.9) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2024 | TLSA 85 – 76 ORU |
| Dec 3, 2023 | ORU 79 – 70 TLSA |
| Dec 3, 2022 | ORU 77 – 66 TLSA |
| Nov 30, 2021 | ORU 87 – 80 TLSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 30-8 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-8 | 16-2 |
| Away | 1-13 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 83.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#220) | 9.8 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#207) | 1.48 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#209) | 2.36 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#26) | 0.750 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.8% | 51.9% |
| 3PT% | 21.1% | 50.0% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.6% | 62.0% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 44.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 25.0% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.9% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.