Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +7 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -3.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -2.3 (+4.7) | 151.1 (+15.9) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -1.3 (+5.7) | 146.7 (+20.3) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -1.8 (+5.2) | 147.8 (+19.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -1.2 (+5.8) | 146.3 (+20.7) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2025 | TLSA 88 – 87 ORU |
| Nov 14, 2024 | TLSA 85 – 76 ORU |
| Dec 3, 2023 | ORU 79 – 70 TLSA |
| Dec 3, 2022 | ORU 77 – 66 TLSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-8 |
| Away | 8-6 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#284) | -3.4 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.57 (#334) | 0.22 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.00 (#334) | 1.15 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#290) | 0.521 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 11.6% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.0% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.5% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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