Betting Lines
| Spread | USA -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | USA -275 CMU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USA +2 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | USA -4.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.2 (-26.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USA -2.6 (-0.6) | 141.0 (-11.0) | 60% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | USA -5.9 (-3.9) | 135.1 (-5.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | USA -4.2 (-2.2) | 142.7 (-12.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USA -1.9 (+0.1) | 145.0 (-15.0) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2024 | CMU 74 – 70 USA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USA | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#179) | -5.0 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.42 (#13) | -0.26 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.20 (#16) | -0.46 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#127) | 0.417 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USA | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.1% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.0% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.2% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 78.7% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.5% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.