Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UNA -300 NWST +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +4 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | UNA -18.1 (-14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (+21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -7.0 (-3.0) | 140.9 (+29.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -7.8 (-3.8) | 141.3 (+28.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -6.5 (-2.5) | 140.9 (+29.1) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2024 | NWST 71 – 58 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 8-14 |
| Home | 5-8 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-12 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#258) | -10.2 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#270) | -0.68 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#285) | -1.07 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#308) | 0.448 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.9% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.54 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.3% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 10.8% | 35.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 60.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 9.9% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 56.8% | 55.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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