Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | MISS -600 MEM +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +6 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | MISS -21.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -16.0 (-10.0) | 143.3 (+16.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -17.5 (-11.5) | 142.7 (+17.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 28, 2024 | MEM 87 – 70 MISS |
| Dec 2, 2023 | MISS 80 – 77 MEM |
| Dec 4, 2022 | MEM 68 – 57 MISS |
| Dec 4, 2021 | MISS 67 – 63 MEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-9 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#64) | -2.2 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#132) | 0.46 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#137) | 0.58 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.396 (#261) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 43.5 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 17.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.3% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 40.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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