Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -26.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -100000 BALL +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +31 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -22.7 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.9 (-16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -16.0 (+15.0) | 150.6 (-9.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -18.1 (+12.9) | 149.5 (-8.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -16.7 (+14.3) | 143.8 (-2.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-2 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#49) | -2.3 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#97) | 0.58 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#85) | 0.82 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.688 (#56) | 0.750 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 52.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 53.3% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.83 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.8% | 60.9% |
| TOV% | 12.4% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 40.0% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 35.2% | 41.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.9% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.3% | 8.5% |
Game Analysis
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