Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -36.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 168.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +26 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | OU -26.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.0 (-0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -20.9 (+5.1) | 150.2 (+13.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -20.8 (+5.2) | 156.1 (+7.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -18.6 (+7.4) | 150.6 (+13.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -21.5 (+4.5) | 152.9 (+11.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2023 | OU 107 – 86 UAPB |
| Nov 12, 2022 | OU 66 – 58 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-16 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 7-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-14 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 81.9 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#79) | -8.6 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#176) | -0.84 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#184) | -1.16 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#216) | 0.500 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 34.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 40.5% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 8.3% | 35.7% |
Game Analysis
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