Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -27.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | OU -5000 UAPB +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +8 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | OU -4.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -1.4 (+6.6) | 131.0 (-7.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -0.5 (+7.5) | 133.4 (-9.4) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | OU 95 – 69 UAPB |
| Dec 1, 2023 | OU 107 – 86 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#256) | 4.3 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#295) | -0.43 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#284) | -0.30 (#162) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.2% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.3% | 44.8% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.29 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.0% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 30.7% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 16.1% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 11.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 37.5% | 42.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 6.2% | 50.0% |
Game Analysis
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