Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | WYO -270 APSU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +14 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | APSU -1.5 (+15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | WYO -0.3 (+13.7) | 142.0 (+2.0) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -2.2 (+11.8) | 141.0 (+3.0) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APSU -1.9 (+15.9) | 145.4 (-1.4) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 22-9 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-4 | 12-1 |
| Away | 3-10 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#228) | 11.1 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#144) | 1.38 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#145) | 2.07 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#136) | 0.438 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.73 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 23.4% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 33.8% | 32.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 31.2% |
| DRB% | 81.6% | 62.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 56.4% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
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