Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 180.5 Under |
| Money | FLA -4000 FSU +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +2 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -9.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 175.6 (-21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -5.7 (-3.7) | 157.9 (-3.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -6.7 (-4.7) | 159.5 (-5.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -5.9 (-3.9) | 163.3 (-9.3) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2024 | FLA 87 – 74 FSU |
| Nov 18, 2023 | FLA 89 – 68 FSU |
| Nov 19, 2022 | FLA 76 – 67 FSU |
| Nov 14, 2021 | FLA 71 – 55 FSU |
| Dec 12, 2020 | FSU 83 – 71 FLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-1 | 11-6 |
| Away | 8-2 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 5-5 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.1 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 77.9 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#61) | 10.1 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#209) | 0.69 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#192) | 1.02 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.688 (#56) | 0.500 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 51.4% |
| 3PT% | 22.0% | 40.3% |
| REB / G | 51.5 | 42.5 |
| OREB / G | 23.0 | 15.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 2.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 62.2% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 50.0% | 40.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 24.7% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 41.0% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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