Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | FSU -125 FLA +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FSU +12 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -1.7 (+13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -0.9 (+11.1) | 147.1 (+6.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FSU -1.6 (+10.4) | 141.4 (+12.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -1.6 (+10.4) | 142.2 (+11.8) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -2.1 (+9.9) | 141.7 (+12.3) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | FLA 78 – 76 FSU |
| Nov 15, 2024 | FLA 87 – 74 FSU |
| Nov 18, 2023 | FLA 89 – 68 FSU |
| Nov 19, 2022 | FLA 76 – 67 FSU |
| Nov 14, 2021 | FLA 71 – 55 FSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-7 | 15-10 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 9-7 |
| Home | 12-1 | 6-3 |
| Away | 3-4 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#57) | 15.6 (#8) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#46) | 2.68 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#50) | 4.07 (#17) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#53) | 0.630 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 18.0 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 42.9% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 33.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 41.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.0% | 26.8% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.