Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | VILL -6000 SHU +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +34 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | VILL -14.8 (+19.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VILL -10.0 (+24.0) | 147.5 (+6.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -13.2 (+20.8) | 149.2 (+4.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -14.7 (+19.3) | 151.8 (+2.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VILL | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 9-3 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#105) | 1.6 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#263) | -0.25 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#253) | -0.25 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#255) | 0.750 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VILL | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 25.9% | 23.3% |
| REB / G | 45.5 | 43.0 |
| OREB / G | 19.5 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 44.8% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 55.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 9.4% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 62.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 39.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.