Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | NDSU -195 CSUN +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +22 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -15.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -6.5 (+15.5) | 146.7 (+11.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -7.1 (+14.9) | 146.0 (+12.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -7.8 (+14.2) | 143.9 (+14.1) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2021 | NDSU 68 – 54 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-1 | 12-3 |
| Away | 10-5 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.7 | 80.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 81.3 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#130) | -0.7 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#273) | 0.89 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#260) | 1.18 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.375 (#264) | 0.613 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 15.5% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.5 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.2% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 24.2% |
| ORB% | 37.8% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 14.6% | 32.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.2% | 57.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 12.3% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 79.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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