Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | COLG -185 DREX +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +7 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -8.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+29.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | COLG -2.9 (+4.1) | 137.4 (+35.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -4.2 (+2.8) | 136.4 (+36.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -3.2 (+3.8) | 139.0 (+34.0) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | DREX 73 – 56 COLG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-10 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#283) | -1.5 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.24 (#354) | -0.41 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.27 (#354) | -0.58 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.312 (#285) | 0.500 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 34.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 16.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 40.6% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 14.7% | 13.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 43.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 63.0% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.3% | 44.8% |
Game Analysis
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