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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–4 on winners spread MAE 13.1 29 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Indiana State @ SIU Edwardsville — — — 64–55 —
South Carolina State @ North Carolina A&T +11.3 145.5 82% 62–85 ✓
Presbyterian @ Georgia State +15.1 126.6 87% 63–61 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Eastern Kentucky — — — 87–79 —
Fairfield @ Seton Hall -4.6 126.1 34% 59–82 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ Kent State — — — 77–86 —
Charleston Southern @ The Citadel +8.4 129.7 78% 96–86 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Pittsburgh +7.3 130.7 69% 66–78 ✓
Stetson @ Miami — — — 61–102 —
Mississippi State @ Iowa State — — — 80–96 —
Little Rock @ Milwaukee — — — 72–92 —
Lindenwood @ Saint Louis — — — 66–109 —
Lamar @ TCU — — — 65–78 —
New Orleans @ LSU +12.4 140.4 74% 58–93 ✓
Cleveland State @ Northwestern +16.8 138.3 79% 63–110 ✓
Santa Clara @ Xavier — — — 87–68 —
Northern Illinois @ Grand Canyon +4.8 157.0 61% 59–88 ✓
Holy Cross @ Utah +11.4 152.5 84% 69–87 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Georgia Tech +11.6 126.5 80% 60–70 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Washington State — — — 71–81 —
West Georgia @ UCLA — — — 62–83 —
Cal State Fullerton @ California — — — 65–93 —
Iona @ Kansas City — — — 105–91 —
Long Island University @ Air Force -4.9 138.0 37% 76–72 ✓
UMBC @ Morgan State +1.1 145.8 58% 81–79 ✗
Wake Forest @ Michigan +6.5 153.5 82% 84–85 ✓
App State @ Ohio State +11.5 145.0 82% 53–75 ✓
Lipscomb @ UNC Asheville +11.9 148.7 86% 64–69 ✓
Navy @ Penn State +27.4 140.8 90% 71–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.