Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Over |
| Money | SLU -7500 LIN +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +43 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -28.2 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.9 (+12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -20.2 (+22.8) | 149.5 (+25.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -27.5 (+15.5) | 150.9 (+24.1) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-9 |
| Home | 19-0 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-3 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#59) | -8.2 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#103) | -0.34 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#96) | -0.52 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#124) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.2% | 31.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 23.8% |
| REB / G | 46.0 | 43.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.3% | 35.2% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 36.4% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.8% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 9.1% |
| DRB% | 78.9% | 58.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.9% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.