Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 168.5 Over |
| Money | MICH -2500 WAKE +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +1 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -12.7 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -9.7 (-8.7) | 150.4 (+18.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -8.0 (-7.0) | 148.4 (+20.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -6.5 (-5.5) | 153.5 (+15.5) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2024 | WAKE 72 – 70 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 37-3 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-1 | 13-7 |
| Away | 11-0 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 12-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | W6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.3 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#12) | -0.2 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#143) | 0.74 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#137) | 1.01 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#124) | 0.750 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 64.3% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 54.3% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 45.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 17.5 |
| AST / TO | 3.88 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 77.9% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 10.2% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 42.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 23.9% |
| DRB% | 87.2% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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