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Baseline Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–1 on winners
spread MAE 5.9
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+6.1 | 152.5 | 72% | 69–78 | ✓ |
|
|
— | — | — | 74–100 | — |
|
|
+3.3 | 131.4 | 57% | 73–67 | ✗ |
|
|
+12.7 | 138.6 | 82% | 62–89 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.9 | 129.4 | 86% | 60–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.3 | 130.8 | 86% | 57–68 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.