Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG -6000 ME +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +12 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -16.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -13.1 (-1.1) | 131.3 (+0.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -15.3 (-3.3) | 128.2 (+3.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -13.9 (-1.9) | 129.4 (+2.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2021 | RUTG 80 – 64 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 6-10 |
| Home | 10-7 | 4-8 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 61.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#133) | -0.2 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#148) | -0.52 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#142) | -0.67 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#120) | 0.562 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 36.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 21.6% |
| REB / G | 47.0 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 20.0 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.71 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 40.2% |
| TOV% | 10.5% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 44.4% | 13.9% |
| FT Rate | 32.8% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 29.2% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 56.2% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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