Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -7500 HC +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +18 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -17.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -10.5 (+7.5) | 148.1 (+7.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -12.5 (+5.5) | 151.5 (+4.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -11.4 (+6.6) | 152.5 (+3.5) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-9 | 6-8 |
| Away | 1-10 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#244) | -6.9 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#101) | -0.81 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#122) | -1.17 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#124) | 0.375 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 25.5% |
| REB / G | 44.5 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 61.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 10.7% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 80.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.