Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | WSU -150 STMN +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +10 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -14.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -4.4 (+5.6) | 144.5 (+7.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -5.9 (+4.1) | 146.3 (+5.7) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-4 |
| Home | 9-6 | 14-1 |
| Away | 2-11 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#256) | -5.4 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#335) | 0.03 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.47 (#330) | -0.06 (#174) |
| RPI | — | 0.688 (#59) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 24.5% | 21.7% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 12.8% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 20.3% |
| FT Rate | 39.3% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 64.0% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 80.0% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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