Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -22.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Under |
| Money | GCU -5000 NIU +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +29 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -6.6 (+22.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 176.2 (-29.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -4.8 (+24.2) | 157.0 (-10.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | GCU -5.3 (+23.7) | 150.2 (-3.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | GCU -3.4 (+25.6) | 160.3 (-13.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -4.4 (+24.6) | 158.7 (-11.7) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#293) | 0.7 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#326) | 0.02 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.38 (#327) | 0.05 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.263 (#274) | 0.531 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.0% | 51.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.3% | 59.8% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 41.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 35.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 57.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 79.7% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 37.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.