Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -23.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | NU -10000 CLE +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +47 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | NU -21.7 (+25.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (+22.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -14.7 (+32.3) | 141.9 (+31.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -19.0 (+28.0) | 138.0 (+35.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -16.8 (+30.2) | 138.3 (+34.7) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-8 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 88.6 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#27) | 1.9 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#13) | -1.32 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#12) | -1.83 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.969 (#7) | 0.125 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 42.5 | 47.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 18.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.94 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 50.0% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 32.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 35.6% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 9.6% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.7% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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