Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | ODU -425 NORF +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +3 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | ODU -16.9 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.0 (-40.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -6.5 (-3.5) | 146.8 (-29.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -8.3 (-5.3) | 147.7 (-30.7) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2022 | ODU 68 – 62 NORF |
| Dec 3, 2020 | ODU 80 – 66 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-6 |
| Home | 7-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-14 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#200) | -5.2 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#228) | -1.81 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#230) | -2.37 (#332) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 42.9% | 40.7% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 25.5% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 16.7% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.9% | 45.3% |
Game Analysis
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