We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
Joseph G. Echols Hall · December 3, 2020
Betting Lines
Spread ODU -7.0 Away covered
O/U 132.5 Over
Money NORF +250 / ODU -300
Model Predictions
Spread Total NORF win
Actual ODU +14 146 Lost
Massey NORF -18.0 (-32.0) — —
Massey Totals — 150.0 (-4.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 98% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✗
Baseline ML NORF -12.0 (-26.0) 145.2 (+0.8) 81% ✗
Baseline Plus ML NORF -11.4 (-25.4) 144.7 (+1.3) 78% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML NORF -11.6 (-25.6) 145.7 (+0.3) 85% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 12, 2025 ODU 60 – 57 NORF
Dec 4, 2022 ODU 68 – 62 NORF

Game Analysis

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