Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Under |
| Money | GONZ -1000 CREI +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +27 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -25.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (+2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | GONZ -16.9 (+10.1) | 147.8 (+5.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -20.5 (+6.5) | 147.4 (+5.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -20.4 (+6.6) | 148.7 (+4.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 28, 2021 | GONZ 83 – 65 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-0 | 10-6 |
| Away | 8-2 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.3 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#21) | -1.5 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#98) | 0.10 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#91) | 0.09 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.656 (#78) | 0.250 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 51.0 | 44.0 |
| OREB / G | 18.5 | 19.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.05 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 44.6% | 54.3% |
| FT Rate | 14.9% | 13.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 36.3% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 54.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 12.2% |
Game Analysis
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