Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | GONZ -900 CREI +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +18 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -11.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.1 (-15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -10.0 (+8.0) | 157.4 (-9.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -8.6 (+9.4) | 155.7 (-7.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -9.9 (+8.1) | 157.2 (-9.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -10.0 (+8.0) | 155.2 (-7.2) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | GONZ 90 – 63 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-1 | 22-9 |
| Conference | 15-0 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-0 | 11-3 |
| Away | 7-0 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 12-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 91.0 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 25.9 (#1) | 14.4 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.57 (#1) | 2.43 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 7.20 (#1) | 2.95 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.659 (#1) | 0.573 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.9% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.0% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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