And I'm so pilled up that I rattle. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–13 on winners spread MAE 9.0 51 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Alabama @ South Carolina -9.4 159.0 20% 88–68 ✓
Ole Miss @ Arkansas +3.1 146.0 61% 73–66 ✗
Presbyterian @ South Carolina Upstate -4.9 153.5 33% 67–77 ✗
UNC Asheville @ Longwood +5.0 152.7 67% 76–85 ✓
Winthrop @ Gardner-Webb +3.7 159.4 63% 83–89 ✓
High Point @ Charleston Southern -4.0 152.5 36% 93–79 ✓
Colorado @ UCF +3.0 151.3 61% 74–75 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Charlotte -5.5 164.7 31% 75–64 ✓
Temple @ East Carolina +0.5 145.4 52% 79–80 ✓
Florida State @ Miami -1.5 161.2 45% 80–65 ✓
Notre Dame @ NC State +2.7 142.4 60% 65–66 ✓
George Washington @ Rhode Island +8.1 151.7 77% 75–67 ✗
Richmond @ George Mason +17.0 133.1 94% 58–64 ✓
Fordham @ VCU +20.9 144.9 97% 61–73 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Duquesne -0.6 132.5 48% 81–85 ✗
Dayton @ Massachusetts -11.2 153.2 15% 72–76 ✗
Murray State @ Northern Iowa +7.4 141.9 75% 71–68 ✗
Drake @ Bradley +3.1 129.1 61% 64–57 ✗
Lehigh @ Colgate +3.4 140.7 62% 62–67 ✓
American University @ Boston University +5.0 131.2 67% 54–60 ✓
Lafayette @ Bucknell +5.6 137.1 70% 62–65 ✓
USC @ Indiana +7.9 146.2 76% 69–82 ✓
Cleveland State @ Robert Morris +5.0 139.9 68% 80–69 ✗
Milwaukee @ Purdue Fort Wayne +5.3 157.9 69% 73–78 ✓
Western Carolina @ Wofford +18.5 141.3 95% 69–77 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Mercer -1.6 158.8 44% 70–68 ✓
Furman @ The Citadel -16.2 132.6 7% 67–63 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Belmont +13.0 161.2 88% 86–90 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Saint Louis -3.5 137.7 37% 68–73 ✗
Indiana State @ Valparaiso +3.7 172.0 63% 95–98 ✓
Illinois State @ Evansville -8.2 134.2 23% 51–69 ✗
Butler @ Providence +2.1 135.1 58% 65–84 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Georgia State +4.8 151.9 67% 78–82 ✓
Texas A&M @ Oklahoma -1.8 144.4 43% 80–78 ✓
Arizona State @ Kansas +13.2 141.0 88% 55–74 ✓
Penn State @ Illinois +13.1 164.5 88% 52–91 ✓
San Diego @ Gonzaga +35.7 151.7 100% 80–93 ✓
Rice @ North Texas +10.1 121.6 82% 59–81 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Stanford +9.9 142.8 82% 59–70 ✓
South Dakota State @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +5.0 160.3 68% 72–73 ✓
Kansas City @ Omaha +1.8 137.7 57% 58–77 ✓
Air Force @ San Diego State +22.3 127.7 98% 38–67 ✓
Virginia @ California +3.9 131.6 64% 61–75 ✓
Morehead State @ Little Rock +9.3 134.0 80% 59–53 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ Chattanooga -1.6 141.2 44% 78–75 ✓
Oregon @ Ohio State +4.2 154.2 65% 73–71 ✗
Purdue @ Rutgers -5.3 153.7 31% 68–50 ✓
Binghamton @ Maine +8.4 135.2 78% 71–82 ✓
Vermont @ UMass Lowell +9.7 138.9 81% 67–63 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ IU Indianapolis +2.8 143.4 60% 61–95 ✓
Jacksonville @ Bellarmine -8.6 147.2 22% 74–59 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.