I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
← All models

Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
35–19 on winners spread MAE 8.7 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida @ Georgia -1.2 167.1 36% 86–66 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Clemson +10.8 139.0 83% 76–66 ✗
American University @ Lehigh -1.0 141.0 43% 82–90 ✗
UTSA @ East Carolina +8.0 145.1 80% 72–88 ✓
California @ Syracuse +2.2 143.9 65% 100–107 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Lafayette +2.7 142.8 62% 68–54 ✗
Toledo @ Western Michigan -3.5 146.6 40% 90–79 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Kent State +8.1 144.5 82% 91–95 ✓
Buffalo @ Ball State -3.0 137.3 45% 63–53 ✓
VMI @ UNC Greensboro +8.8 150.3 82% 71–92 ✓
Wofford @ Samford +1.3 147.1 60% 80–97 ✓
Furman @ Mercer +3.6 147.4 67% 64–69 ✓
Chattanooga @ East Tennessee State +12.3 141.6 87% 61–73 ✓
Alabama @ Ole Miss -4.6 166.2 25% 93–74 ✓
West Georgia @ North Alabama +1.0 142.0 57% 82–73 ✗
North Florida @ Florida Gulf Coast +9.5 161.9 84% 81–90 ✓
Jacksonville @ Stetson -1.6 141.9 44% 62–67 ✗
Austin Peay @ Queens University +1.4 155.6 57% 95–87 ✗
UTEP @ Jacksonville State +5.9 133.5 74% 69–64 ✗
UConn @ Butler -7.7 146.3 25% 80–70 ✓
Temple @ Tulane +0.2 145.2 59% 66–77 ✓
South Florida @ Wichita State +0.7 157.4 58% 66–58 ✗
Providence @ Seton Hall +4.3 149.2 68% 80–87 ✓
Marshall @ Old Dominion -4.5 152.8 35% 81–79 ✓
Bellarmine @ Central Arkansas +10.4 155.3 83% 76–84 ✓
Colorado @ Texas Tech +12.9 152.6 86% 44–78 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Rice -5.0 149.0 33% 73–81 ✗
UAB @ Tulsa +9.4 156.7 79% 68–63 ✗
North Dakota @ South Dakota +3.0 154.8 69% 72–71 ✗
Bowling Green @ Northern Illinois -6.3 142.1 29% 68–52 ✓
Troy @ Texas State -4.3 144.5 35% 62–74 ✗
UL Monroe @ Arkansas State +17.2 157.5 90% 70–103 ✓
App State @ Georgia Southern -1.9 140.4 40% 81–65 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Lipscomb +8.0 159.1 79% 61–75 ✓
Michigan @ Northwestern -12.0 152.1 17% 87–75 ✓
Cincinnati @ Kansas State +1.0 147.0 58% 91–62 ✗
Creighton @ DePaul -0.1 141.9 54% 71–72 ✗
Wake Forest @ Georgia Tech -2.9 153.6 38% 83–67 ✓
Stanford @ Boston College -2.9 135.8 44% 70–64 ✓
Tennessee @ Mississippi State -7.3 148.5 21% 73–64 ✓
Missouri @ Texas A&M +7.8 157.9 74% 86–85 ✗
Liberty @ New Mexico State -1.8 139.5 40% 77–75 ✓
Portland @ San Diego +0.6 149.8 55% 58–71 ✓
Seattle U @ Santa Clara +16.3 142.5 88% 72–84 ✓
Pepperdine @ Saint Mary's +23.6 141.6 91% 60–88 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Pacific +4.8 134.9 69% 59–65 ✓
New Mexico @ Grand Canyon +0.9 143.9 59% 70–64 ✗
Penn State @ Washington +10.8 147.8 86% 63–60 ✗
NJIT @ New Hampshire +1.5 143.8 64% 76–70 ✗
UMBC @ Maine -3.7 129.2 38% 78–62 ✓
Bryant @ UMass Lowell +3.5 137.8 60% 69–88 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ IU Indianapolis -4.0 156.0 34% 84–81 ✓
Vermont @ Binghamton -12.0 135.5 21% 73–65 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Kennesaw State +3.2 149.9 70% 90–87 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.