Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | WASH -1050 PSU +675 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +3 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | WASH -13.1 (-16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (-31.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -10.8 (-13.8) | 147.8 (-24.8) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -11.9 (-14.9) | 147.4 (-24.4) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -11.8 (-14.8) | 147.8 (-24.8) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -12.7 (-15.7) | 147.5 (-24.5) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2025 | WASH 75 – 73 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 3-17 |
| Home | 10-6 | 9-8 |
| Away | 4-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 79.3 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#44) | 2.6 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#67) | 0.30 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#57) | 0.20 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#76) | 0.501 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 58.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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