Betting Lines
| Spread | PSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | PSU -260 WASH +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +2 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | PSU -8.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -6.1 (-8.1) | 146.7 (+1.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -6.1 (-8.1) | 146.9 (+1.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -6.2 (-8.2) | 146.2 (+1.8) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -5.9 (-7.9) | 148.0 (+0.0) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | PSU 63 – 60 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 4-16 |
| Home | 11-6 | 9-9 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.1 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#60) | 5.0 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#92) | 1.14 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#75) | 1.52 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#135) | 0.529 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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