Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | SYR -305 CAL +245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +7 | 207 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -2.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+60.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -2.2 (+4.8) | 143.9 (+63.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -2.0 (+5.0) | 143.1 (+63.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -1.8 (+5.2) | 144.1 (+62.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -1.9 (+5.1) | 145.1 (+61.9) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2025 | SYR 75 – 66 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-6 | 17-5 |
| Away | 2-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#70) | 9.6 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#84) | 2.15 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#77) | 2.63 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#103) | 0.578 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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