Betting Lines
| Spread | CAL -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | CAL -200 SYR +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +9 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | CAL -4.6 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAL -4.2 (-13.2) | 150.3 (-9.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAL -4.3 (-13.3) | 150.0 (-9.0) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAL -4.4 (-13.4) | 151.7 (-10.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAL -4.7 (-13.7) | 152.7 (-11.7) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | SYR 107 – 100 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-6 | 11-6 |
| Away | 2-11 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 77.8 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#111) | 1.9 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#118) | 0.37 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#115) | 0.62 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#148) | 0.518 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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