Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | SCU -1050 SEA +675 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +12 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -14.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (+10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -16.3 (-4.3) | 142.5 (+13.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -13.3 (-1.3) | 139.9 (+16.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -12.2 (-0.2) | 140.6 (+15.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -13.3 (-1.3) | 145.2 (+10.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-1 | 14-4 |
| Away | 8-3 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 4-5 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 14.2 (#39) | 2.7 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#41) | 0.41 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.23 (#36) | 0.68 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#30) | 0.498 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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