Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | BC +136 STAN -162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +6 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | STAN -3.6 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -2.9 (-3.1) | 135.8 (-1.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -3.3 (-2.7) | 132.6 (+1.4) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -3.0 (-3.0) | 133.5 (+0.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -2.6 (-3.4) | 135.5 (-1.5) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2025 | STAN 78 – 60 BC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-7 | 12-6 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#139) | 8.6 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#204) | 1.74 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#169) | 1.97 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#210) | 0.577 (#54) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 30.7% |
Game Analysis
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