Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | STAN -650 BC +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +18 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | STAN -10.8 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -10.1 (+7.9) | 144.1 (-6.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -10.4 (+7.6) | 145.1 (-7.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -10.2 (+7.8) | 144.8 (-6.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -10.3 (+7.7) | 145.6 (-7.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | STAN 70 – 64 BC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | BC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 4-16 |
| Home | 17-3 | 9-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#87) | -1.4 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#73) | -0.13 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#87) | -0.23 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#69) | 0.465 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | BC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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