I got a baby's brain and an old man's heart "I'm Eighteen" - Alice Cooper
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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44–14 on winners spread MAE 8.0 58 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Maryland @ Illinois +17.6 148.2 90% 70–89 ✓
Notre Dame @ North Carolina +10.8 140.6 83% 69–91 ✓
Murray State @ Drake -3.6 154.9 35% 90–101 ✗
Indiana State @ Bradley +8.6 154.4 82% 68–75 ✓
Colgate @ American University +1.3 142.0 57% 66–70 ✓
Rhode Island @ Richmond +2.1 137.0 62% 69–68 ✗
Fordham @ Davidson +5.7 134.7 72% 63–68 ✓
Tulane @ Florida Atlantic +11.8 147.4 87% 74–79 ✓
Army @ Bucknell +2.5 146.0 60% 87–84 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Longwood +13.1 148.4 88% 56–91 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Presbyterian +0.5 146.3 50% 83–87 ✓
Georgetown @ Villanova +12.1 142.7 85% 51–66 ✓
Xavier @ Creighton +7.7 150.1 74% 93–94 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Boston College -1.7 135.7 43% 62–65 ✗
Holy Cross @ Navy +8.6 134.2 81% 68–85 ✓
Cleveland State @ Wright State +13.2 154.7 88% 85–79 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Detroit Mercy -0.8 150.1 55% 83–76 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Oakland +14.5 163.3 89% 103–85 ✗
Furman @ The Citadel -11.5 145.3 17% 75–77 ✗
Western Carolina @ Mercer +11.1 157.5 86% 76–88 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Chattanooga -5.7 140.6 28% 67–66 ✓
Troy @ Old Dominion -6.5 158.4 26% 83–77 ✓
Texas @ Kentucky +6.3 148.2 74% 80–85 ✓
North Alabama @ Queens University +10.4 152.9 83% 62–87 ✓
East Carolina @ Wichita State +13.9 144.1 87% 60–77 ✓
Liberty @ Western Kentucky -0.9 146.8 50% 76–69 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Sam Houston +4.7 159.0 74% 87–93 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Valparaiso +1.0 140.7 57% 63–69 ✓
UTSA @ North Texas +16.0 132.3 88% 62–81 ✓
Temple @ Rice -1.4 138.3 49% 69–65 ✓
Memphis @ Tulsa +6.3 146.9 69% 66–83 ✓
South Dakota @ Omaha +4.1 155.8 68% 68–64 ✗
Tarleton State @ UT Arlington +4.3 143.3 73% 64–71 ✓
Utah Valley @ Southern Utah -13.2 149.4 14% 70–84 ✗
Cincinnati @ Arizona +14.9 145.5 88% 51–77 ✓
Washington @ Nebraska +9.7 146.7 83% 66–76 ✓
Pepperdine @ Gonzaga +25.0 148.0 91% 60–84 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Illinois State +5.3 128.9 72% 54–59 ✓
Fresno State @ New Mexico +16.4 140.2 89% 74–83 ✓
West Virginia @ Arizona State +1.4 139.5 56% 75–63 ✗
Virginia Tech @ Syracuse +1.5 150.2 59% 76–74 ✗
Mississippi State @ Texas A&M +10.6 162.3 84% 68–88 ✓
Washington State @ San Diego -3.2 146.4 43% 92–96 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Seattle U +4.2 140.9 68% 59–69 ✓
Utah Tech @ California Baptist +7.0 138.2 77% 64–73 ✓
Oregon State @ Saint Mary's +16.1 140.9 90% 51–81 ✓
Northwestern @ USC +6.6 145.9 74% 74–68 ✗
San Diego State @ Grand Canyon +1.1 144.7 62% 69–70 ✓
UL Monroe @ Marshall +13.7 156.7 88% 60–115 ✓
Louisiana @ App State +9.1 132.1 79% 58–72 ✓
Stetson @ Lipscomb +16.2 152.4 89% 74–79 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Austin Peay +4.0 150.4 73% 62–83 ✓
Central Arkansas @ West Georgia -3.5 152.4 41% 86–65 ✓
Vermont @ UMass Lowell -2.7 141.0 41% 77–68 ✓
NJIT @ UMBC +5.8 144.3 73% 74–87 ✓
Binghamton @ New Hampshire +9.4 134.2 85% 82–88 ✓
UAlbany @ Maine -2.7 129.3 37% 49–52 ✗
Green Bay @ Youngstown State +4.9 139.4 73% 81–88 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.